EDITORIAL STEM
CLD Phase 2 | NASA Returns to Firm-Fixed-Price for Commercial Stations
Multi-award IDIQProposals due Dec 8, 2026
NASA's final RFP 80JSC027R0004 is a firm-fixed-price, multiple-award IDIQ with at least two awards for early development. An August 2025 directive had swapped the contract for funded Space Act Agreements and put the acquisition on hold; NASA lifted the hold in June 2026 after industry pushback. Awards are expected in spring 2027. Axiom, Starlab, Orbital Reef, and Vast are in contention.
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Gateway I-HAB | Outfitting the Moon's Outpost, If It Survives
$215M moduleUnder question
The I-HAB habitation module is procurement under a question mark, as NASA's Gateway pause redirects toward a surface base. What gets built, and what Canadarm3 and the UAE airlock become, if the outpost is deferred.
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India Builds Its Own Station | SpaDeX to Bharatiya Antariksh
~$210M BAS-1Launch 2028
India approved the first module of its Bharatiya Antariksh Station at roughly $210M, building on the SpaDeX docking demo and Gaganyaan. A sovereign-station path distinct from the US and Chinese tracks.
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The Deorbit Vehicle | SpaceX's $843M Job to Sink the ISS
$843MReentry 2031
SpaceX holds the contract to build the vehicle that will deliberately sink the ISS into the South Pacific around 2031. The most consequential end-of-life job in the history of human spaceflight.
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The CLD Race | Axiom vs Starlab vs Orbital Reef vs Vast
~$3.5B+ eachPre-2030
Four contenders are racing to have a commercial station ready before the ISS retires. Whoever slips leaves a gap in continuous US presence in orbit, and the others take the market.
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Tiangong Expands | China Goes from 3 Modules to 6
77 to 180 tonnes6 modules
China's Tiangong is the only operational sovereign station, and it is doubling from three modules to six. Continuous crewed presence since 2022, with a Xuntian telescope co-orbiting, while the West negotiates its successor.
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Gateway Paused | NASA Redirects to the Surface
$5-7B elementsPaused Mar 2026
NASA paused the entire Gateway program in March 2026 and redirected resources to the lunar surface, with PPE and HALO already in advanced build. ESA's call on what to do with the hardware is due.
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ROSS | Russia Recycles the ISS Into Its Next Station
ISS-based assemblyPost-2030
Russia pivoted its next station to an ISS-based assembly approach, planning to detach modules and reuse them as the core of a national outpost. Recycling the old station into the new one under budget pressure.
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Spin Test | Vast's Bet on Artificial Gravity
Haven-1 experiment2027
Vast plans the first artificial-gravity spin experiment on Haven-1, a foundational test for rotating habitats and long-duration crew health. The data that decides whether future stations spin or float.